China's industrialization has entered the medium-term acceleration phase
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In the new stage of the post-crisis period, the Social Blue Book pointed out that from the key indicators of economic and social development such as economic recovery, employment recovery, consumption growth, and price stability, China will take the lead in getting out of the shadow of the international financial crisis and enter a new round of growth cycle. . From the perspective of industrialization, urbanization and the development of household consumption, China has begun to enter a new stage of growth after the international financial crisis.
The so-called new stage of growth, on the one hand, means that China's economic growth rate will re-enter a new round of growth cycle of more than 8%; on the other hand, it means that the driving force of the new round of growth cycle will change significantly compared with the past. It will be more dependent on industrial structure upgrading, economic and social structural transformation and domestic consumption growth. Some of the new features presented in this new stage of growth are quite different from the past.
According to international experience, the agricultural added value of GDP has fallen below 5%. The proportion of agricultural workers in the employment structure has fallen below 30%, and the urbanization level has exceeded 50%, marking a major transformation of the economic and social structure.
From the perspective of China's industrial structure, employment structure and urban and rural structure, it has entered the stage of structural transformation. Experts predict that in China's GDP, the proportion of agricultural added value will fall below 10% in 2010 and will fall to around 6% in 2015. In the employment structure, the proportion of agricultural workers will fall below 38% in 2010 and will fall to around 33% in 2015. In the urban-rural structure, the urbanization level represented by urban permanent residents in 2010 will reach about 48%, and in 2012 or 2013 it will exceed the structural transition threshold of 50%, and will reach 53% in 2015.
These indicators show that China has generally entered the medium-term acceleration phase of industrialization and urbanization, and the economic structure and social structure will undergo profound transformation.
Transition from economic reform to comprehensive reform The huge gap between urban and rural dual structure and urban and rural development is a long-term and prominent problem for China's unbalanced development. The Blue Book proposes that as industrialization and urbanization enter the stage of structural transformation, the development of urban and rural integration becomes a new development requirement.
Experts believe that breaking the urban-rural dual structure will not only eliminate the barriers between modern industry and traditional agriculture, but also gradually eliminate barriers between urban and rural areas in employment, education, health care, social security, and household registration. Breaking the urban-rural dual structure will become a major measure that will have far-reaching impact on China's development history.
In the past 30 years of reform and opening up in China, although reforms have been carried out in other fields along with the reform of the economic system, the main reform path is the reform of the economic system. At present, the socialist market economic system has been basically established, but the great changes in the economic and social structure require all systems to continue to adapt to this huge change, and the reform has expanded from the economic field to comprehensive reform. Among them, the more prominent problem is to carry out social reforms involving employment, income distribution, social security, urban and rural social construction, social management, operation of public institutions, communities, and social organizations.
The Blue Book also pointed out that in 2010 China's economy and society will continue to move in the direction of coordinated economic and social development. In the future development process, China should do the following seven tasks: transforming the development mode, deepening the structural adjustment of the social economy; adjusting the income distribution structure, continuously improving the people's living standards; promoting the development of small and medium-sized enterprises, expanding employment and giving play to the labor force comparison Advantages; speed up the construction of social security system, build a social safety net covering the whole people; vigorously promote the equalization of basic public services, accelerate the development of urban and rural integration; establish a social operation mechanism suitable for the new stage and new stage, promote social harmony and stability; implement a comprehensive society Reform and strengthen social construction.